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Today's forecast for Asia-Pacific, Europe & Americas
Forecast for Today:
Today 11th May 2026 (0 UTC/GMT), the overall daily M5+
probability in Asia- Pacific is medium-high (35%). The lunar phase strength is 35%
(med=low) and PR>1 period less active, so that M4+ to M5+ intensity quakes
are expected in Asia-Pacific today.
Asia-Pacific:
Philippines
|
*Babu* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Batan
I* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Ilocos* |
QL0.1 |
|
*Abra* |
QL0.1 |
|
*Baguio* |
QL0.1 |
|
*Zambales* |
QL1.1.3
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - 0-N |
|
*Quezon* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Manila* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Taal* |
QL0.3 |
|
*tangas* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Mindoro* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Bicol* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Albay* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Catanduanes* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Samar* |
QL1.1.2
- QL2.1 - QL3.0 - 0-N |
|
*Leyte* |
QL0.2 |
|
*Bohol* |
QL0.2 |
|
*Cebu* |
QL0.2 |
|
*Negros*
|
QL0.2 |
|
*Panay* |
QL0.2 |
|
*Surigao* |
QL1.2.2
- QL2.2 - QL3.2 - 0-N |
|
*Bukid* |
QL0.2 |
|
*Davao* |
QL1.1.4
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N |
|
*Lanao* |
QL0.4 |
|
*Gensan* |
QL1.2.4
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N |
|
*Cotobato* |
QL1.1.4
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*Sarang* |
QL0.4 |
|
*Zamb* |
QL1.1.4
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N |
|
*Moro* |
QL1.2.4
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
Asia-Pacific:
Japan-Taiwan
|
*Kamc* |
QL1.2.4
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N |
|
*Okho* |
QL0.4 |
|
*Kuril* |
QL1.14.4
- QL2.6 - QL3.3 - QL5-N |
|
*Hokk* |
QL1.5.4
- QL2.2 - QL3.2 - QL5-N |
|
*Sapp* |
QL0.4 |
|
*Sea
of J* |
QL0.4 |
|
*E.Hon* |
QL1.5.4
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL5-N |
|
*E
Hon* |
QL1.4.3
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*W
Hon* |
QL1.2.3
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N |
|
*S
Hon* |
QL1.1.3
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*Shik* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Kyush* |
QL1.4.3
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N |
|
*Izu* |
QL1.3.3
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N |
|
*Bonin* |
QL1.1.3
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*Volca* |
QL1.1.3
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*Ryuk* |
QL1.1.3
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*N
Tai* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Taiwan* |
QL1.8.3
- QL2.3 - QL3.2 - QL4-N |
|
*S
Tai* |
QL0.3 |
Asia-Pacific:
Indonesia – Burma
|
*Burm* |
QL0.7 |
|
*Myanm* |
QL0.7 |
|
*Anda* |
QL1.2.7
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N |
|
*Nico* |
QL0.7 |
|
*N*Sum* |
QL1.8.7
- QL2.3 - QL3.3 - QL5-N |
|
*Nias* |
QL0.7 |
|
*Simeu* |
QL0.7 |
|
*S*Sum* |
QL1.4.5
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N |
|
*Menta* |
QL1.2.5
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N |
|
*Batu* |
QL0.5 |
|
*Sunda* |
QL0.5 |
|
*Kalima* |
QL0.5 |
|
*SW*Sum* |
QL0.5 |
|
*W
Jav* |
QL0.2 |
|
*C
Jav* |
QL0.2 |
|
*E
Jav* |
QL0.2 |
|
*Java* |
QL1.7.2
- QL2.3 - QL3.2 - 0-N |
|
*Lomb* |
QL0.2 |
|
*Bali* |
QL0.2 |
|
*Sumba
* |
QL0.2 |
|
*Sumbawa* |
QL1.2.2
- QL2.2 - QL3.0 - 0-N |
|
*Flores* |
QL0.4 |
|
*Sulawesi* |
QL1.6.4
- QL2.3 - QL3.2 - QL4-N |
|
*Halma* |
QL0.4 |
|
*Timor* |
QL1.2.4
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N |
|
*Barat* |
QL0.4 |
|
*Babar* |
QL0.4 |
|
*Tanim* |
QL0.4 |
Americas
|
*Aleu* |
QL1.1.2
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*Alaska* |
QL1.2.2
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*Canada* |
QL1.2.2
- QL2.2 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*Vancou* |
QL1.2.2
- QL2.2 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*Wash* |
QL0.2 |
|
*Oreg* |
QL0.2 |
|
*N*Cal* |
QL1.2.2
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*Gulf*Cal* |
QL0.2 |
|
*S*Cal* |
QL1.1.2
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*Baja* |
QL1.1.2
- QL2.1 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*Mex* |
QL1.2.3
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N |
|
*Guatemala* |
QL1.2.3
- QL2.1 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*Salvador* |
QL1.1.3
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N |
|
*Honduras* |
QL1.1.3
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*Nicaragua* |
QL1.1.3
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N |
|
*Costa
R* |
QL1.1.3
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*Panama*
|
QL1.2.4
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*Colombia* |
QL1.2.4
- QL2.2 - QL3.1 - QL4-N |
|
*Venezuela* |
QL1.1.4
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*Cuba* |
QL1.1.2
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*Puerto
R* |
QL1.1.2
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N |
|
*Haiti* |
QL0.2 |
|
*Domin* |
QL1.1.2
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*Trinidad* |
QL0.2 |
|
*Ecuador* |
QL0.3 |
|
*N*Peru* |
QL1.1.3
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*C*Peru |
QL1.1.3
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*S*Peru* |
QL1.3.3
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*Bolivia* |
QL1.1.3
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*Brazil* |
QL0.3 |
|
*N*Arg* |
QL1.2.5
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N |
|
*W*Arg* |
QL1.1.3
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*N*Chile* |
QL1.3.5
- QL2.2 - QL3.1 - QL4-N |
|
*S*Chile* |
QL1.8.3
- QL2.2 - QL3.1 - QL4-N |
|
*Easter* |
QL0.5 |
Europe & Africa
|
*Icel* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Azores* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Canary* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Madeira* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Ascension* |
QL1.2.3
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - 0-N |
|
*Tristan* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Helena* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Portugal* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Morocco* |
QL1.1.3
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N |
|
*Spain* |
QL1.1.3
- QL2.1 - QL3.0 - 0-N |
|
*Gibral* |
QL0.3 |
|
*France* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Alger* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Bouvet* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Nigeria* |
QL0.3 |
|
*German* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Africa*
|
QL1.1.3
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N |
|
*Gabon* |
QL0.3 |
|
*N*Italy* |
QL0.2 |
|
*C*Italy* |
QL1.2.2
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - 0-N |
|
*S*Italy* |
QL0.2 |
|
*Sicily* |
QL0.2 |
|
*Slovenia* |
QL0.2 |
|
*Namibia* |
QL0.2 |
|
*Austria* |
QL1.1.2
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - 0-N |
|
*Croatia* |
QL0.2 |
|
*Poland* |
QL0.2 |
|
*Hung* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Bosnia* |
QL1.1.3
- QL2.1 - QL3.0 - 0-N |
|
*Serb* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Monte* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Alban* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Congo* |
QL0.2 |
|
*Ionia* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Greece* |
QL1.1.3
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N |
|
*Pelop* |
QL1.1.3
- QL2.1 - QL3.0 - 0-N |
|
*Dodec* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Crete* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Maced* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Roman* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Aegean* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Bulgar* |
QL0.3 |
|
*W*Turk* |
QL1.2.3
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N |
|
*Rwanda* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Uganda* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Tanza* |
QL0.3 |
|
*N*Tur* |
QL0.3 |
|
*C*Tur* |
QL0.3 |
|
*S*Tur* |
QL0.3 |
|
*E*Tur* |
QL1.1.3
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - 0-N |
|
*Cyprus* |
QL1.3.3
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*Sudan* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Mozanb* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Malawi* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Egypy* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Edward* |
QL1.1.3
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N |
|
*Eritrea* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Ethiopia* |
QL1.3.3
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N |
|
*Comoros* |
QL0.3 |
|
*Djibouti |
QL0.3 |
|
*Georgia* |
QL0.4 |
|
*Armenia* |
QL0.4 |
|
*Mayotte* |
QL0.4 |
|
*Iraq* |
QL1.1.4
- QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N |
|
*W*Iran* |
QL0.4 |
|
*Azer* |
QL0.4 |
|
*Aden* |
QL0.4 |
|
*Yemen* |
QL0.4 |
|
*S*Iran* |
QL1.2.4
- QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N |
|
*N*Iran* |
QL0.4 |
|
*Afghan* |
QL0.4 |
|
*Mauritius* |
QL0.4 |
|
*Uzbek* |
QL0.4 |
|
*Tajik* |
QL0.4 |
Note, for each location:
QL0 – no forecast
specific imminent events
QL1 – possible
event within next 24 hours
QL1.1 – ditto
based on 1 (forecast) alarm, QL1.2 – based on 2 alarms, etc
QL2 – possible
(forecast) event within last/next 6 hours
QL2.1 – ditto
based on 1 alarm, QL2.2 – based on 2 alarms, etc
QL3 – possible
event within last/next 3 hours
QL3.1 – ditto
based on 1 alarm, QL3.2 – based on 2 alarms, etc
Alarms can
include number of forecasts in next 24 hours, etc
A/N – A= possible
event within next 24 or 6 to 3 hours following increased seismic activity and
or strong quake history, N=Not likely
For
Asia-Pacific only, additional point score available
for regional stress and lunar effects- so
QL1.1.1, (one
alarm in next 24 hours and 1 point score for stress, lunar, etc) next 24 hrs
QL1.1.2, (one
alarm in next 24 hours and 2 points score for stress, lunar, etc) next 24 hrs
QL1.2.1, (two
alarms in next 24 hours and 1 point score for stress, lunar, etc) next 24 hrs
QL0.3, no
specific hourly forecast but 3 points score for stress, lunar etc
For
Asia-Pacific and America
QL4 – possible
event of stronger magnitude (M4.5+)
QL5 – possible
event of stronger magnitude (M5+)
QL6 – possible
stronger M6+ (the bonus point forecasts which include M7+ are spread throughout
each associated region – as the M7+ quakes have a more widespread effect)
QL7 – possible
stronger M7+
Please refer to
48 hr regional tables for hourly forecasts
Disclaimer: - As earthquake prediction is still in its infancy, the accuracy of information provided on this web-site cannot be guaranteed by the author, the web-site owner or the hosting organization, neither is any liability accepted by these persons or organizations for any incident or accident resulting out of actions taken by persons as a result of information posted herein. Copyright of all items in this earthtremors.org web-site is with the author.