Posts

Disclaimer: – As earthquake prediction is still in its infancy, the accuracy of information provided on this web-site cannot be guaranteed by the author, the web-site owner or the hosting organization, neither is any liability accepted by these persons or organizations for any incident or accident resulting out of actions taken by persons as a result of information posted herein.
Copyright of all items in this Earthtremors.org web-site is with the author.

Today's forecast for Asia-Pacific, Europe & Americas

2026-05-12 00:00:00 Admin Daily Summary Warning

Forecast for Today:

Today 12th May 2026 (0 UTC/GMT), the overall daily M5+ probability in Asia- Pacific is low 26%(am) to medium-high 35% (pm). The lunar phase strength is 38% (med-low) and PR>1 period less active, so that M4+ to M5+ intensity quakes are expected in Asia-Pacific today.

Asia-Pacific: Philippines

*Babu*

QL0.3

*Batan I*

QL0.3

*Ilocos*

QL0.2

*Abra*

QL0.2

*Baguio*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Zambales*

QL1.2.3 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N

*Quezon*

QL0.3

*Manila*

QL0.3

*Taal*

QL0.1

*tangas*

QL0.3

*Mindoro*

QL0.3

*Bicol*

QL0.3

*Albay*

QL0.1

*Catanduanes*

QL0.3

*Samar*

QL1.1.3 - QL2.1 - QL3.0 - QL4-N

*Leyte*

QL0.3

*Bohol*

QL0.3

*Cebu*

QL0.3

*Negros*

QL0.3

*Panay*

QL0.3

*Surigao*

QL1.3.3 - QL2.3 - QL3.3 - QL4-N

*Bukid*

QL0.3

*Davao*

QL1.1.3 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N

*Lanao*

QL0.3

*Gensan*

QL1.4.3 - QL2.3 - QL3.3 - QL4-N

*Cotobato*

QL1.1.3 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N

*Sarang*

QL0.3

*Zamb*

QL1.2.3 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N

*Moro*

QL1.4.3 - QL2.2 - QL3.0 - QL4-N

Asia-Pacific: Japan-Taiwan

*Kamc*

QL1.3.1 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - 0-N

*Okho*

QL0.1

*Kuril*

QL1.21.1 - QL2.5 - QL3.2 - 0-N

*Hokk*

QL1.3.1 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - 0-N

*Sapp*

QL0.1

*Sea of J*

QL0.3

*E.Hon*

QL1.6.3 - QL2.2 - QL3.2 - QL5-N

*E Hon*

QL1.5.2 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N

*W Hon*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N

*S Hon*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N

*Shik*

QL0.2

*Kyush*

QL1.6.2 - QL2.2 - QL3.2 - QL4-N

*Izu*

QL1.4.2 - QL2.2 - QL3.2 - QL4-N

*Bonin*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N

*Volca*

QL0.2

*Ryuk*

QL0.3

*N Tai*

QL0.3

*Taiwan*

QL1.4.3 - QL2.2 - QL3.1 - QL5-N

*S Tai*

QL0.3

Asia-Pacific: Indonesia – Burma

*Burm*

QL0.5

*Myanm*

QL1.1.5 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N

*Anda*

QL1.4.5 - QL2.2 - QL3.2 - QL5-N

*Nico*

QL0.5

*N*Sum*

QL1.6.5 - QL2.2 - QL3.2 - QL5-N

*Nias*

QL0.5

*Simeu*

QL0.5

*S*Sum*

QL1.9.5 - QL2.2 - QL3.1 - QL5-N

*Menta*

QL1.2.5 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N

*Batu*

QL0.5

*Sunda*

QL0.5

*Kalima*

QL1.1.5 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N

*SW*Sum*

QL0.5

*W Jav*

QL0.2

*C Jav*

QL0.2

*E Jav*

QL0.2

*Java*

QL1.10.2 - QL2.3 - QL3.2 - 0-N

*Lomb*

QL0.2

*Bali*

QL0.2

*Sumba *

QL0.2

*Sumbawa*

QL1.2.2 - QL2.2 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Flores*

QL0.3

*Sulawesi*

QL1.6.3 - QL2.2 - QL3.1 - QL4-N

*Halma*

QL0.3

*Timor*

QL1.6.3 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N

*Barat*

QL1.2.3 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N

*Babar*

QL0.3

*Tanim*

QL0.3

Americas

*Aleu*

QL0.0

*Alaska*

QL1.1.0 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Canada*

QL0.0

*Vancou*

QL0.0

*Wash*

QL0.0

*Oreg*

QL0.0

*N*Cal*

QL1.2.0 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Gulf*Cal*

QL0.0

*S*Cal*

QL0.0

*Baja*

QL0.0

*Mex*

QL1.2.0 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - 0-N

*Guatemala*

QL1.1.0 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Salvador*

QL0.0

*Honduras*

QL1.1.0 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Nicaragua*

QL0.0

*Costa R*

QL1.1.0 - QL2.2 - QL3.1 - 0-N

*Panama*

QL1.2.0 - QL2.1 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Colombia*

QL1.3.0 - QL2.1 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Venezuela*

QL1.1.0 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Cuba*

QL1.2.0 - QL2.1 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Puerto R*

QL0.0

*Haiti*

QL0.0

*Domin*

QL1.1.0 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Trinidad*

QL0.0

*Ecuador*

QL0.0

*N*Peru*

QL0.0

*C*Peru

QL0.0

*S*Peru*

QL1.2.0 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - 0-N

*Bolivia*

QL0.0

*Brazil*

QL0.0

*N*Arg*

QL1.3.1 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*W*Arg*

QL1.2.1 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*N*Chile*

QL1.2.1 - QL2.4 - QL3.1 - 0-N

*S*Chile*

QL1.6.1 - QL2.4 - QL3.2 - 0-N

*Easter*

QL0.1

Europe & Africa

*Icel*

QL0.2

*Azores*

QL0.2

*Canary*

QL0.2

*Madeira*

QL0.2

*Ascension*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - 0-N

*Tristan*

QL0.2

*Helena*

QL0.2

*Portugal*

QL0.2

*Morocco*

QL0.2

*Spain*

QL0.2

*Gibral*

QL0.2

*France*

QL0.2

*Alger*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Bouvet*

QL0.2

*Nigeria*

QL0.2

*German*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.1 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Africa*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.1 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Gabon*

QL0.2

*N*Italy*

QL0.2

*C*Italy*

QL1.2.2 - QL2.2 - QL3.1 - 0-N

*S*Italy*

QL0.2

*Sicily*

QL0.2

*Slovenia*

QL0.2

*Namibia*

QL0.2

*Austria*

QL0.2

*Croatia*

QL1.2.2 - QL2.1 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Poland*

QL0.2

*Hung*

QL0.2

*Bosnia*

QL0.2

*Serb*

QL0.2

*Monte*

QL0.2

*Alban*

QL0.2

*Congo*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Ionia*

QL0.2

*Greece*

QL1.5.2 - QL2.2 - QL3.1 - QL4-N

*Pelop*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.1 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Dodec*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Crete*

QL1.4.2 - QL2.2 - QL3.1 - QL4-N

*Maced*

QL0.2

*Roman*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - 0-N

*Aegean*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Bulgar*

QL0.2

*W*Turk*

QL1.3.2 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N

*Rwanda*

QL0.5

*Uganda*

QL1.1.5 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N

*Tanza*

QL0.5

*N*Tur*

QL1.1.5 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N

*C*Tur*

QL1.1.5 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N

*S*Tur*

QL1.1.5 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N

*E*Tur*

QL1.2.5 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N

*Cyprus*

QL1.2.5 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N

*Sudan*

QL1.1.5 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N

*Mozanb*

QL0.5

*Malawi*

QL1.1.5 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-N

*Egypy*

QL0.5

*Edward*

QL0.5

*Eritrea*

QL0.5

*Ethiopia*

QL1.2.5 - QL2.2 - QL3.1 - QL4-N

*Comoros*

QL0.5

*Djibouti

QL0.5

*Georgia*

QL0.2

*Armenia*

QL0.2

*Mayotte*

QL0.2

*Iraq*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.1 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*W*Iran*

QL0.2

*Azer*

QL0.2

*Aden*

QL0.2

*Yemen*

QL0.2

*S*Iran*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.1 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*N*Iran*

QL0.2

*Afghan*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Mauritius*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Uzbek*

QL0.2

*Tajik*

QL0.2

Note, for each location:

QL0 – no forecast specific imminent events

QL1 – possible event within next 24 hours

QL1.1 – ditto based on 1 (forecast) alarm, QL1.2 – based on 2 alarms, etc

QL2 – possible (forecast) event within last/next 6 hours

QL2.1 – ditto based on 1 alarm, QL2.2 – based on 2 alarms, etc

QL3 – possible event within last/next 3 hours

QL3.1 – ditto based on 1 alarm, QL3.2 – based on 2 alarms, etc

Alarms can include number of forecasts in next 24 hours, etc

A/N – A= possible event within next 24 or 6 to 3 hours following increased seismic activity and or strong quake history, N=Not likely

For Asia-Pacific only, additional point score available for regional stress and lunar effects- so

QL1.1.1, (one alarm in next 24 hours and 1 point score for stress, lunar, etc) next 24 hrs

QL1.1.2, (one alarm in next 24 hours and 2 points score for stress, lunar, etc) next 24 hrs

QL1.2.1, (two alarms in next 24 hours and 1 point score for stress, lunar, etc) next 24 hrs

QL0.3, no specific hourly forecast but 3 points score for stress, lunar etc

For Asia-Pacific and America

QL4 – possible event of stronger magnitude (M4.5+)

QL5 – possible event of stronger magnitude (M5+)

QL6 – possible stronger M6+ (the bonus point forecasts which include M7+ are spread throughout each associated region – as the M7+ quakes have a more widespread effect)

QL7 – possible stronger M7+

Please refer to 48 hr regional tables for hourly forecasts

Disclaimer: - As earthquake prediction is still in its infancy, the accuracy of information provided on this web-site cannot be guaranteed by the author, the web-site owner or the hosting organization, neither is any liability accepted by these persons or organizations for any incident or accident resulting out of actions taken by persons as a result of information posted herein. Copyright of all items in this earthtremors.org web-site is with the author.