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Disclaimer: – As earthquake prediction is still in its infancy, the accuracy of information provided on this web-site cannot be guaranteed by the author, the web-site owner or the hosting organization, neither is any liability accepted by these persons or organizations for any incident or accident resulting out of actions taken by persons as a result of information posted herein.
Copyright of all items in this Earthtremors.org web-site is with the author.

Today's forecast for Asia-Pacific, Europe & Americas

2026-07-10 00:00:00 Admin Daily Summary Warning

Forecast for Today:

Today 10th July 2026 (0 UTC/GMT), the overall daily M5+ probability in Asia- Pacific is high 41%. The lunar phase strength is 38% (medium) and PR>1 period less active, so that M4+ to med M5+ intensity quakes are expected in Asia-Pacific today. Today is lunar day 3 and we are PR>1 in Asia Pacific but PR<1 in Americas. The below forecasts are our estimates for potential quakes today but actually only about 30% of these for AP and AM may come out and less for EA (5%).

Asia-Pacific: Philippines

Possible M5+ tomorrow morning 11th July for Baguio. I have forecasts for 2am, 5am and 6am (PHT). There was M4.6 yesterday at 2:33pm for which I had a forecast on the same hour. At the moment there is not a particularly strong stress factor from recent quakes, but lunar effect is medium-high (as yesterday). Also weather effect may contribute with softening of fault zones where heavy rain has occurred.

 

*Babu*

QL1.1.4 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N

*Batan I*

QL0.4

*Ilocos*

QL0.4

*Abra*

QL0.4

*Baguio*

QL1.5.4 - QL2.2 - QL3.1 - QL5-N

*Zambales*

QL0.4

*Quezon*

QL0.4

*Manila*

QL0.4

*Taal*

QL0.4

*tangas*

QL0.4

*Mindoro*

QL1.1.4 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Bicol*

QL0.4

*Albay*

QL0.4

*Catanduanes*

QL0.4

*Samar*

QL1.2.2 - QL2.2 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Leyte*

QL0.2

*Bohol*

QL0.2

*Cebu*

QL0.2

*Negros*

QL0.2

*Panay*

QL0.2

*Surigao*

QL1.6.2 - QL2.5 - QL3.2 - 0-N

*Bukid*

QL0.2

*Davao*

QL1.1.5 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-A

*Lanao*

QL0.5

*Gensan*

QL1.6.5 - QL2.3 - QL3.2 - QL5-A

*Cotobato*

QL0.5

*Sarang*

QL0.5

*Zamb*

QL0.5

*Moro*

QL1.1.5 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-A

Asia-Pacific: Japan-Taiwan

*Kamc*

QL1.3.4 - QL2.1 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Okho*

QL1.1.4 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Kuril*

QL1.4.4 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - 0-N

*Hokk*

QL1.1.3 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Sapp*

QL0.3

*Sea of J*

QL1.1.4 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*E.Hon*

QL1.2.4 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*E Hon*

QL1.1.4 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*W Hon*

QL1.1.4 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - 0-N

*S Hon*

QL0.5

*Shik*

QL0.5

*Kyush*

QL1.1.5 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Izu*

QL0.5

*Bonin*

QL0.5

*Volca*

QL0.5

*Ryuk*

QL1.2.4 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*N Tai*

QL0.4

*Taiwan*

QL1.3.4 - QL2.1 - QL3.0 – QL4-N

*S Tai*

QL0.4

Asia-Pacific: Indonesia – Burma

*Burm*

QL0.8

*Myanm*

QL0.8

*Anda*

QL1.1.8 - QL2.1 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Nico*

QL1.1.8 - QL2.1 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*N*Sum*

QL1.5.8 - QL2.2 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Nias*

QL0.8

*Simeu*

QL0.8

*S*Sum*

QL1.4.8 - QL2.2 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Menta*

QL1.1.8 - QL2.1 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Batu*

QL0.8

*Sunda*

QL0.8

*Kalima*

QL0.8

*SW*Sum*

QL1.1.8 - QL2.1 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*W Jav*

QL0.3

*C Jav*

QL0.3

*E Jav*

QL0.3

*Java*

QL1.2.3 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Lomb*

QL0.3

*Bali*

QL1.2.3 - QL2.2 - QL3.0 - 0-N

*Sumba *

QL0.3

*Sumbawa*

QL1.3.3 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - 0-N

*Flores*

QL0.5

*Sulawesi*

QL1.2.5 - QL2.2 - QL3.1 - 0-N

*Halma*

QL0.5

*Timor*

QL1.1.5 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - 0-N

*Barat*

QL0.5

*Babar*

QL1.3.5 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - 0-N

*Tanim*

QL0.5

Americas

*Aleu*

QL0.2

*Alaska*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-A

*Canada*

QL0.2

*Vancou*

QL0.2

*Wash*

QL0.2

*Oreg*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N

*N*Cal*

QL0.4

*Gulf*Cal*

QL0.4

*S*Cal*

QL0.4

*Baja*

QL1.1.4 - QL2.1 - QL3.0 - QL4-N

*Mex*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-A

*Guatemala*

QL1.5.4 - QL2.3 - QL3.1 - QL4-A

*Salvador*

QL1.2.4 - QL2.1 - QL3.0 - QL4-A

*Honduras*

QL1.1.4 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-A

*Nicaragua*

QL0.4

*Costa R*

QL0.4

*Panama*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.1 - QL3.0 - QL4-N

*Colombia*

QL1.3.2 - QL2.3 - QL3.2 - QL4-N

*Venezuela*

QL0.2

*Cuba*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.1 - QL3.0 - QL4-N

*Puerto R*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.1 - QL3.0 - QL4-N

*Haiti*

QL0.2

*Domin*

QL0.2

*Trinidad*

QL0.2

*Ecuador*

QL0.3

*N*Peru*

QL0.3

*C*Peru

QL0.3

*S*Peru*

QL1.1.3 - QL2.1 - QL3.1 - QL4-A

*Bolivia*

QL0.3

*Brazil*

QL0.3

*N*Arg*

QL1.2.3 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N

*W*Arg*

QL1.2.2 - QL2.0 - QL3.0 - QL4-N

*N*Chile*

QL1.1.3 - QL2.2 - QL3.2 - QL4-N

*S*Chile*

QL1.1.2 - QL2.3 - QL3.1 - QL4-N

*Easter*

QL0.3

Europe & Africa

Note, for each location:

QL0 – no forecast specific imminent events

QL1 – possible event within next 24 hours

QL1.1 – ditto based on 1 (forecast) alarm, QL1.2 – based on 2 alarms, etc

QL2 – possible (forecast) event within last/next 6 hours

QL2.1 – ditto based on 1 alarm, QL2.2 – based on 2 alarms, etc

QL3 – possible event within last/next 3 hours

QL3.1 – ditto based on 1 alarm, QL3.2 – based on 2 alarms, etc

Alarms can include number of forecasts in next 24 hours, etc

A/N – A= possible event within next 24 or 6 to 3 hours following increased seismic activity and or strong quake history, N=Not likely (<50%)

For Asia-Pacific only, additional point score available for regional stress and lunar effects- so

QL1.1.1, (one alarm in next 24 hours and 1 point score for stress, lunar, etc) next 24 hrs

QL1.1.2, (one alarm in next 24 hours and 2 points score for stress, lunar, etc) next 24 hrs

QL1.2.1, (two alarms in next 24 hours and 1 point score for stress, lunar, etc) next 24 hrs

QL0.3, no specific hourly forecast but 3 points score for stress, lunar etc

For Asia-Pacific and America

QL4 – possible event of stronger magnitude (M4.5+)

QL5 – possible event of stronger magnitude (M5+)

QL6 – possible stronger M6+ (the bonus point forecasts which include M7+ are spread throughout each associated region – as the M7+ quakes have a more widespread effect)

QL7 – possible stronger M7+

Please refer to 48 hr regional tables for hourly forecasts

Disclaimer: - As earthquake prediction is still in its infancy, the accuracy of information provided on this web-site cannot be guaranteed by the author, the web-site owner or the hosting organization, neither is any liability accepted by these persons or organizations for any incident or accident resulting out of actions taken by persons as a result of information posted herein. Copyright of all items in this earthtremors.org web-site is with the author.